Down position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.81K
- Potential profit
- $9.81K
- User PnL
- -$745.27
Polymarket Trader
0x4Db156B8686ee1FFF64471c9e83f87673712e2Ab-1771421075829
0x4db156b8686ee1fff64471c9e83f87673712e2ab
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.49K
- Realized PnL
- $2.88K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.83K
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $7.1
- User PnL
- $405.87
Down position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $319.44
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$237.21
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $698.45
- Potential payout
- $780.39
- Potential profit
- $81.94
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $65.79
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $562.89
- Potential payout
- $621.98
- Potential profit
- $59.09
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $66.19
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $76.85
- Potential payout
- $530
- Potential profit
- $453.15
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$23.85
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$8.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $920.3
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.65
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.95
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.04
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $199.64
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.87
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.36
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $138.27
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.45
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $69.39
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.75
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.74
No position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $10.45
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.74
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 14, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.4% 1,006 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?Down 54% 185 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Down 49% 512 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No 89% 701.99 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.4% 10 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No 81% 50.75 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No 80% 524.78 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No 82% 16 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No 82% 614.1 shares
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No 81% 258.28 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 1,735.28 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 85% 240 shares