Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $59.16
- Potential payout
- $64.66
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Polymarket Trader
TheCogheart
0x4db2bb772625fc422454560e891263ee9976f97d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $59.16
- Realized PnL
- $43.72
- Win rate
- 88.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Magic position
Magic vs. Pistons
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- -$4.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.75
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Cavaliers position
Heat vs. Cavaliers
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Raptors position
Pelicans vs. Raptors
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Andrea Lazaro Garcia position
Dubrovnik: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Tena Lukas
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Lakers position
Nets vs. Lakers
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 92.8% 64.66 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 59% 84.75 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 99% 51.55 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 95.1% 51.55 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 92% 25.83 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 81.3% 25.83 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No 93% 24.21 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No 95% 24.21 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes 98% 22.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94.7% 24.05 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95.6% 24.06 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.3% 23.95 shares