No position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $16.68
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Polymarket Trader
0x4db3...b748
0x4db354446a4566fbf93e1977fa3fd987168eb748
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $55.56
- Realized PnL
- -$2.01
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $14.96
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $13.1
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.3%
- Current value
- $10.68
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $3.32
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $8.01
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $3.79
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $7.21
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
No position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.2%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $6.58
- Multiplier
- 2.49x
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.85
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $6.93
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $2.07
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $5.96
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $12.56
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.09
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$12.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 12% 10 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 77% 9 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 7.6% 14 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 96% 8 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 95.2% 5 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 22% 6 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 21% 5 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 62% 16 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 38% 12 shares
- Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?No 96.4% 17 shares
- Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?No 80.9% 10 shares
- Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Yes 19.1% 24 shares