Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $3.77K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$14.99
Polymarket Trader
Methaslegs
@Punk_Monke
0x4db7faf6e54524836661a3570fa296ff0734d20e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.62K
- Realized PnL
- $8.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $575
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.42K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.26K
- Potential payout
- $4.27K
- Potential profit
- $8.54
- User PnL
- $121.01
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $682.5
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.82K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $42.5
No position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.7K
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $6.76
- User PnL
- $113.78
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $162.5
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.34K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$2.49
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $139.16
- Potential payout
- $2.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.32K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $10.16
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $135.01
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$18.5
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $337.5
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$132.87
Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $980.5
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$11.5
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $495
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $255
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$110
No position
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $484.77
- Potential payout
- $554.02
- Potential profit
- $69.25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $24.93
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $250.25
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $299.75
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$123.75
Yes position
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $367.18
- Potential payout
- $543.97
- Potential profit
- $176.79
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $7.6
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $400
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $100
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $241.9
- Potential payout
- $460.76
- Potential profit
- $218.86
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$131.42
Yes position
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $153.78
- Potential payout
- $250.04
- Potential profit
- $96.27
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$13.76
No position
Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $170.46
- Potential payout
- $192.61
- Potential profit
- $22.15
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$20.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
No position
Aster all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $738.88
No position
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $379.09
No position
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $311.29
No position
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.17
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.46
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.41
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.4
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197
No position
Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.07
No position
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.13
Yes position
Will Letsile Tebogo (BOT) win Gold in 200m?
Ends Aug 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.67
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135
No position
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130
No position
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $120
Yes position
Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.71
Yes position
Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.75
Yes position
Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.5
No position
Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.49
No position
Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes 94.1% 56.28 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Yes 64% 31.25 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes 83% 25 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 6% 1,000 shares
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 3.1% 682.36 shares
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 12% 1,000 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 17% 999.99 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 23% 800.43 shares
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 12% 1,000 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 17% 999.99 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 23% 1,000 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?No 68% 160.76 shares