Polymarket Trader

0x4dc949BeEF2e2AE01F5F32cdA6e7Dc28723a3a13-1761735997214

0x4dc949beef2e2ae01f5f32cda6e7dc28723a3a13

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $149.85
Realized PnL: $243.25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $54.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $45.5
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $1.5

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $42
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $38
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $50.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $9.9
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $15.9

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$18

Over position

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$15.6

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.98
Potential profit: $29.98
User PnL: -$18.89

Over position

England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$8.2

Yes position

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $9.83
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Uruguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will Germany be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.55
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.05

Over position

England vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.84

Yes position

Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.98

Yes position

England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.45

Yes position

Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.95

Over position

Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.2

Yes position

Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.4

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

No position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.27

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.21

No position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.87

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

No position

Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Mexico position

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5

Over 98% 40 shares
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score

Yes 99.9% 50 shares
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score

Yes 56% 45 shares
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5

Over 52% 30 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

No 57% 60 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 44% 31 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 44% 31 shares
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5

Over 29% 15 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

No 76% 20 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

No 44% 20 shares
France vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score

Yes 34% 10 shares
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score

Yes 57% 40 shares