Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $2.81K
- Potential payout
- $5.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $526
Polymarket Trader
0x4dCB2b9af2Fd6324abc96e9e0cb6B908c08f2e90-1764880012517
0x4dcb2b9af2fd6324abc96e9e0cb6b908c08f2e90
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.9K
- Realized PnL
- -$60.24
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Ends Oct 24, 2027- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $91.02
- Potential payout
- $209.25
- Potential profit
- $118.23
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.48
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.45
Yes position
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.83
No position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$98.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?Yes 72% 20.83 shares
- Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes 47% 8.69 shares
- Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes 45.9% 217.94 shares
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?Yes 29% 34.48 shares
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?Yes 30% 33.33 shares
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 0.4% 454.54 shares
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 98.9% 119.57 shares
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 99.7% 119.58 shares
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes 22% 454.55 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 43% 3,409.07 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 50% 1,260 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 48% 87.5 shares