Up position
XRP Up or Down - November 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $5.32
- User PnL
- -$5.21
Polymarket Trader
0x4dd9...182d
0x4dd98d099c7706c2c2d369a530e40cc08bc1182d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $24.29
- Realized PnL
- $3.23
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.04
- Potential profit
- $5.04
- User PnL
- -$4.94
No position
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $4.82
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $4.82
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $4.82
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 7.72x
- User PnL
- -$4.19
No position
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $4.82
- Potential payout
- $4.82
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $4.66
- Potential payout
- $4.82
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Y
Yes position
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $4.71
- Potential payout
- $4.79
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Puerto Rico win Miss Universe 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 5PM ET
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Up position
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on November 26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Trump say "Too Big To Rig" this week? (January 25)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Jeannette Jara win between 20% and 24% of votes in the first round?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Mads Pedersen win the 2026 Men's Tour de Flanders?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will France win Miss Universe 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Jara win by at least 15%?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?Yes 99.8% 4.79 shares
- Will "I Will Find You" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?No 99.9% 4.77 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?No 99.5% 4.78 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?No 99.4% 4.76 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No 98.9% 4.9 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?No 99.9% 4.85 shares
- Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?No 99.8% 4.84 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?No 99.9% 4.82 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?No 99.4% 4.85 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 4.86 shares
- World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?No 99% 4.88 shares
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over 99.9% 4.84 shares