Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $3.28K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$463.31
Polymarket Trader
ryanhan
0x4dda84243b99198550876b6610b09ca00db6642f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.28K
- Realized PnL
- $2.61K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $559.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $533.14
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.17
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.58
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.9
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
EDward Gaming position
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
No position
Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 66% 131.36 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 96.4% 3,250 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 92% 1,564.66 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 84% 1,564.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 96.5% 1,360 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 89% 1,360 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes 6% 122.64 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes 58.4% 122.64 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes 29% 2,290.38 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 88.1% 99.98 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 91% 100 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No 92% 100 shares