Polymarket Trader

beihang

0x4ddb17c67a4b5e6f70625b0ad711fb4f8385cd80

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $863
Realized PnL: $1.2K
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $895.05
Potential profit: $895.05
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $612.5
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $220.83
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.9%
Current value: $117.08
Potential payout: $621.12
Potential profit: $504.04
Multiplier: 5.31x
User PnL: $17.08

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $84.26
Potential payout: $617.28
Potential profit: $533.02
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$15.74

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $49.16
Potential payout: $192.79
Potential profit: $143.63
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$50.84

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $854.82

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.82

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.5

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.57

No position

Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before September?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.37

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.92

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.81

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$84.93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 72% 833.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Up 11% 136.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Up 73% 136.99 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 51.9% 192.79 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 621.12 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.2% 617.28 shares
Xi Jinping out in 2025?

No 97% 4,125.03 shares
Xi Jinping out in 2025?

No 97% 4,125.03 shares
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

No 5% 285.71 shares
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

No 7% 285.71 shares
Xi Jinping out in 2025?

No 96.4% 14,052.65 shares
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No 83% 120.48 shares