Polymarket Trader

0x4DDd16a5e2d44580686aFa79650f716260C1950B-1765193870395

0x4ddd16a5e2d44580686afa79650f716260c1950b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $60.39
Realized PnL: $807.23
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$50.68

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.92
Potential profit: $499.92
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $244.1
Potential profit: $244.1
User PnL: -$7.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$11.2

Yes position

Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$3.98

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$1.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$49.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 33.6%
Current value: $60.39
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $119.61
Multiplier: 2.98x
User PnL: $55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$27.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $149.99
User PnL: -$6.75

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in December?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.99
Potential profit: $139.99
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.7
Potential profit: $128.7
User PnL: -$16.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2PM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 3.6% 6 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 3.4% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 3.2% 45 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Yes 5% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 2.7% 65.47 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Yes 13% 38.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Yes 16% 19.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Up 30% 9.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Down 96% 2.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Down 12% 19.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Down 9% 19.97 shares