Polymarket Trader

Baristalibertarian

0x4de02e9d4a9534ec2ddf5a2b1531c19e5010869f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $93.09
Realized PnL: $441.18
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$20.85

Morocco position

France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $37
User PnL: -$15.17

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $21.76
Potential payout: $30.01
Potential profit: $8.25
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $6.75

Yes position

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$10.5

No position

New pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $27.26
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $1.74
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.74

Paraguay position

Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Pedri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.6
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$7.2

Under position

Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Verizon Communications (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $13.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $6.5
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $3.3

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

Over position

Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 0.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$10.99

No position

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.05
Potential profit: $19.05
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Ferrán Torres: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19
Potential profit: $19
User PnL: -$10.45

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$5.04

Yes position

Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$10.54

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $12.31
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $3.08
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $2.31

Yes position

Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $4.13
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $10.88
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $4.73
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $10.28
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$5.63

Yes position

Will T-Mobile US (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $8.02
Potential payout: $14.99
Potential profit: $6.97
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.15

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.27

Yes position

Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.74

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.72

No position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-08?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.49

Yes position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

Yes position

Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 10.5%
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.74

Yes position

Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.67

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.39

No position

Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.38

No position

Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.95

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.77

Over position

Sevilla FC vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

Yes position

Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

No position

Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.32

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.31

Yes position

Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-07?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?

No 27% 15 shares
Will T-Mobile US (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 55% 14.99 shares
Will Verizon Communications (VZ) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 51% 20 shares
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Yes 25% 40 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Conor McGregor 28% 18 shares
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Yes 31% 35 shares
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals

Yes 34% 14.71 shares
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ goals

Yes 5% 100 shares
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 65% 15.38 shares
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Morocco 22% 50 shares
Luis Díaz: 1+ goals AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

23.9% 20.25 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score

Yes 41% 24.39 shares