Yes position
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $1.42
- Potential payout
- $39.99
- Potential profit
- $38.58
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$3.78
Polymarket Trader
Lipsky
0x4df848cb06b97bbc9da098d8c53559094e824270
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.27
- Realized PnL
- -$70.43
- Win rate
- 42.1%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.1%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $9.01
- Multiplier
- 5.54x
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.87
- Potential payout
- $10.23
- Potential profit
- $9.36
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.98
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.3
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.8
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.3
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.4
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$52
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$91.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?Yes 13% 4 shares
- Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No 56% 1.79 shares
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 2.3% 43.48 shares
- Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?No 59% 1.69 shares
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 3.7% 27.03 shares
- Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes 99.9% 4.34 shares
- Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes 23% 4.35 shares
- Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No 23% 4.35 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.1% 11 shares
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?Yes 91.7% 15 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes 15% 79.01 shares