Polymarket Trader

RelaxRelaxLikeQuagsire

0x4dfa70b042d825cf9b491ae247ae20810d38b490

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $179.59
Realized PnL: $214.25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $982.76
Potential profit: $982.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $928.51
Potential profit: $928.51
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 29.3%
Current value: $179.59
Potential payout: $612.93
Potential profit: $433.34
Multiplier: 3.41x
User PnL: $29.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177.41
Potential profit: $177.41
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.63
Potential profit: $102.63
User PnL: -$2.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.13
Potential profit: $3.13
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.09
Potential profit: $2.09
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.21

Yes position

Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Over position

Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Yes 11.5% 145 shares
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Yes 24% 5 shares
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Yes 23% 42 shares
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Yes 25.5% 20 shares
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Yes 25.5% 20 shares
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Yes 25.6% 20.69 shares
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Yes 26.6% 6.81 shares
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Yes 19.9% 5.19 shares
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Yes 25.4% 209.15 shares
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Yes 26.1% 8.11 shares
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026

Yes 46.1% 103.62 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 26?

No 74% 10 shares