Polymarket Trader

bb7

0x4dfbca45b4b59e7c774a294b8126d85ee7f54a57

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $73.53
Realized PnL: $154.91
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $20.14
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $7.64
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $5.14

No position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $3.85
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $21.79
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$16.15

No position

Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.31
Potential profit: $24.31
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $3.71
Potential payout: $20.33
Potential profit: $16.62
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: -$1.29

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 21, 2027

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $11.97
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $1.18
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 21, 2027

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $9.41
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $2.35
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$0.59

No position

Jonathan Majors as Kang?

Ends Dec 18, 2026

Implied probability: 84.4%
Current value: $9.81
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $1.82
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $10.63
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $0.86
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.63

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.9
Potential profit: $9.9
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $4.01
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $4.61
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$0.99

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$5

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 'A Complete Unknown' be nominated for Oscar for Best Picture?

Ends Jan 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.31

No position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

Yes position

Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.59

No position

Will Gladiator II gross between $60-67m on opening weekend?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.26

Yes position

Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.59

Yes position

Will 'Astro Bot' win Game of the Year?

Ends Dec 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

No position

Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $72-80m on 3-day opening weekend?

Ends Dec 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.45

Yes position

Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?

Ends Dec 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.98

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.81

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

No position

Will Elliot die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.38

No position

Will 'Mufasa: The Lion King' gross between $52-58m on 3-day opening weekend?

Ends Dec 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.99

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.48

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

No position

Will "Mufasa: The Lion King" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or more?

Ends Dec 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

No position

Will 'Red One' gross between $18-21m on opening weekend?

Ends Nov 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

No position

Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43

Yes position

Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Coinbase top 25 app on Monday?

Ends Nov 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will Ethan Hawke be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will Robin Buckley die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 6?

Up 98.2% 3.8 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Mexico 63% 3.73 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 25?

Up 90% 5.56 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?

Up 50.5% 9.9 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16?

Up 3% 11.11 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 16?

Up 45% 11.11 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12?

Up 96% 5.21 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10?

Down 95% 10.53 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10?

Up 70% 7.14 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 9?

Up 96.8% 5.17 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8?

Up 82% 6.1 shares
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Yes 76% 13.16 shares