Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120K
- Potential profit
- $120K
- User PnL
- -$7.2K
Polymarket Trader
Magamyman
0x4dfd481c16d9995b809780fd8a9808e8689f6e4a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $117K
- Realized PnL
- $916.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.34K
- Potential profit
- $58.34K
- User PnL
- -$3.85K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $50.18K
- Potential payout
- $50.31K
- Potential profit
- $125.77
- User PnL
- $20.21K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $26.93K
- Potential payout
- $28.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3.38K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $19.36K
- Potential payout
- $21.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $8.97K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.32K
- Potential profit
- $18.32K
- User PnL
- -$4.58K
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.32K
- Potential profit
- $13.32K
- User PnL
- -$3.1K
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $5.65K
- Potential payout
- $6.46K
- Potential profit
- $807.83
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $936.95
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $5.68K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $321
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $999
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $3.48K
- Potential payout
- $3.67K
- Potential profit
- $185.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $3.11K
- Potential payout
- $3.12K
- Potential profit
- $10.92
- User PnL
- $830.07
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.23K
- Potential payout
- $2.55K
- Potential profit
- $318.62
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $244.04
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.31K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- User PnL
- -$369.6
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $373.1
- Potential payout
- $375.16
- Potential profit
- $2.06
- User PnL
- $133.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.2K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.18K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.32K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.93K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.11K
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran in October?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.08K
Yes position
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.35K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.54K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.59K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.79K
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.44K
Yes position
Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.97K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.73K
No position
No Israel strike Iran on by Sunday Oct 27?
Ends Oct 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6K
Yes position
Will Israel strike Iran on Friday Oct 25?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.85K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.89K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.72K
No position
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11K
No position
Iran strike on Israel before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.09K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96K
No position
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No 6.7% 500.34 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No 6.7% 174.32 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No 6.6% 5,270.75 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No 6.5% 3,356.64 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No 6.4% 6,064.02 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No 87% 12,289.55 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 83.3% 28,270.82 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 73% 3,120.38 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 63.9% 375.16 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?Up 28.8% 2,389.33 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?Up 34% 2,445.4 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?Up 29.1% 1,882.99 shares