Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.36
- Potential profit
- $7.36
- User PnL
- -$5.37
Polymarket Trader
0x4dfe...ed81
0x4dfe1fcdac2333891c4874a196ed1b1aa07ced81
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $38.62
- Realized PnL
- $4.05
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.41
- Potential profit
- $5.41
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Yes position
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $5.03
- Potential profit
- $4.51
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 91.8%
- Current value
- $4.61
- Potential payout
- $5.03
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $5.03
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $5.03
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $5.03
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $4.99
- Potential payout
- $5.03
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $4.84
- Potential payout
- $5.03
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will Japan GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.97
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- User PnL
- -$4.97
DFX Peek position
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs DFX Peek (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group C
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $4.01
- Potential payout
- $4.92
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will the Prosperity Party (Prosperity) win the most seats in the 2026 Ethiopian general election?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $4.86
- Potential payout
- $4.91
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3AM ET
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Bill O’Dea win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Trump say "Longest Government Shutdown" this week? (November 17 – 23)
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Trump say "Too Big To Rig" this week? (January 25)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Seattle Redhawks position
Oregon State Beavers vs. Seattle Redhawks
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Alabama Crimson Tide position
Missouri Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3PM ET
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 99.9% 4.77 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?No 99.4% 4.81 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?No 99.9% 4.77 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 99.9% 4.79 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $70 on June 29?Yes 99.9% 4.79 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 98.4% 3.6 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 98.9% 4.84 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?No 99.9% 4.81 shares
- Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 24?Up 99% 4.85 shares
- Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be above 3%?No 99.6% 4.79 shares
- Will "Danny Go!: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?No 99.9% 2.27 shares
- Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top US Netflix show this week?No 99.9% 4.77 shares