No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$16
Polymarket Trader
overlay69
0x4e0afd166e16da75d91bd7dc3bcb92b25b93c288
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $180.06
- Realized PnL
- $404.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- User PnL
- -$52
No position
Will "Five Nights at Freddy's 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 57m?
Ends Dec 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112
- Potential profit
- $112
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $14.35
- Potential payout
- $86.96
- Potential profit
- $72.61
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$5.65
No position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $18.49
- Potential payout
- $78.69
- Potential profit
- $60.2
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$22.93
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.8
- Potential profit
- $67.8
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $22.22
- Potential payout
- $50.5
- Potential profit
- $28.28
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$4.76
No position
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $36.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $13.25
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
ChatGPT Outage by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $23.15
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $13.89
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$25.2
Yes position
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%?
Ends Jan 12, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $3.99
- Potential payout
- $28.78
- Potential profit
- $24.79
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$5.4
No position
Trump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.38
- Potential profit
- $27.38
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $19.11
- Potential payout
- $25.65
- Potential profit
- $6.54
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $4.11
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $25.5
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $5.5
No position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2.05
No position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $24.39
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with urine?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $24
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.71
- Potential profit
- $22.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will 'Arc Raiders' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.67
Yes position
Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.23
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $33.12
No position
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.09
Yes position
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.04
No position
Somalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.93
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.95
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $18.22
Demoor position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.11
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.13
Yes position
Will there be no NYT banner headlines by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.32
No position
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.1
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61
No position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.41
No position
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.18
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.21
Yes position
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.18
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06
No position
Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
No position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $5.95
No position
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 92% 220.77 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 500 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 77% 25.97 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 59% 67.8 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 84.3% 59.31 shares
- Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes 23% 86.96 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 77% 129.87 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 77% 25.97 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No 77% 38.96 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 81% 12.35 shares
- Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30?No 97.4% 2.5 shares