Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $52.49
- Potential payout
- $981.18
- Potential profit
- $928.68
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$51.69
Polymarket Trader
wololoe
0x4e19232da00d1e854fa471f48d4e8f46001f669d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $373.04
- Realized PnL
- $795.88
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Current value
- $33.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $366.6
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Spain snap election called in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $142.71
- Potential payout
- $246.06
- Potential profit
- $103.35
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$11.95
Yes position
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $4.46
- Potential payout
- $212.51
- Potential profit
- $208.04
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$65.79
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.3
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $85
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $115
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$9.7
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $42.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $57.5
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $38.2
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.1
- Potential payout
- $38.25
- Potential profit
- $38.15
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
No position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $9.88
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.57
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $145.2
Yes position
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.55
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.52
No position
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.36
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.09
No position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
No position
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $4
Alcaraz position
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
No position
Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 60 and 70 minutes long?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 70 and 80 minutes long?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes 97% 200 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?Yes 5% 80 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8% 400 shares
- Spain snap election called in 2026?No 59.5% 150 shares
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?Yes 19% 30 shares
- Spain snap election called in 2026?No 63% 13 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 27.6% 399.97 shares
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Yes 58% 40 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 80% 200 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 87% 100 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17% 50 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91.4% 10 shares