Polymarket Trader

fareselim

0x4e1abae5e53268f615d4980bf871e75326c154bc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $55.7
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274.64
Potential profit: $274.64
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.11
Potential profit: $216.11
User PnL: -$21.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205.22
Potential profit: $205.22
User PnL: -$64.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.72
Potential profit: $198.72
User PnL: -$39.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.59
Potential profit: $196.59
User PnL: -$40

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.54
Potential profit: $179.54
User PnL: -$21.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.12
Potential profit: $149.12
User PnL: -$41.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.37
Potential profit: $146.37
User PnL: -$37.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.94
Potential profit: $142.94
User PnL: -$37.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.23
Potential profit: $133.23
User PnL: -$7.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.81
Potential profit: $112.81
User PnL: -$39.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.56
Potential profit: $98.56
User PnL: -$39.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.16
Potential profit: $69.16
User PnL: -$23.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.98
Potential profit: $49.98
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.98
Potential profit: $39.98
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.48
Potential profit: $12.48
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.66

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.56

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 February 2-8?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$11.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$57.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$147.61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Down 25.7% 146.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Down 5% 39.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Up 1.1% 274.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Up 86% 50.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Up 81% 50.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Down 27.9% 149.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Up 96.9% 85.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Up 94% 85.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Down 30% 16.48 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Down 31.4% 188.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Up 33.1% 269.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Up 19% 209.28 shares