Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $6.16K
- Potential payout
- $37.47K
- Potential profit
- $31.31K
- Multiplier
- 6.08x
- User PnL
- -$7.6K
Polymarket Trader
0x4e25...d7a7
0x4e25605fd905e9972efc0f4d8814530c655cd7a7
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $82.09K
- Realized PnL
- $897.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $306.14
- Potential payout
- $32.23K
- Potential profit
- $31.92K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $80.18
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $27.45K
- Potential payout
- $30.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.88K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.54K
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.6%
- Current value
- $22.18K
- Potential payout
- $26.54K
- Potential profit
- $4.37K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $7.51K
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $25.32K
- Potential payout
- $25.47K
- Potential profit
- $152.83
- User PnL
- $3.17K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $12.14
- Potential payout
- $24.28K
- Potential profit
- $24.27K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$110.86
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $659.47
- Potential payout
- $22.35K
- Potential profit
- $21.7K
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- $417.01
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$704.04
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$704.04
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$704.04
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$704.04
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$704.04
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$704.04
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$704.04
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$704.04
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$704.04
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$704.04
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$704.04
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$704.04
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$704.04
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$704.04
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$704.04
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$704.04
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$704.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $81.9K
Pacers position
Pacers vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.25K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.93K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.74K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.63K
Yes position
Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.84K
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.9K
Yes position
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.78K
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.26K
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.13K
Yes position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.07K
Yes position
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.17K
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.73K
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.45K
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.34K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.3K
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.43K
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.24K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.33K
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.16K
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.58K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.51K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.46K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.27K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes 19% 6 shares
- Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?Yes 9.5% 21.23 shares
- Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?Yes 9.5% 1,186 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?No 95.9% 71 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 35% 713.12 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes 3.9% 1,542.82 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No 80% 3,500 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No 84% 178.98 shares
- Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 0.1% 2,500 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 30.2% 797.48 shares
- Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 0.1% 2,500 shares
- Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 0.1% 2,500 shares