0x4e3c...2a42

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $70.1
Potential profit: $69.68
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $61.78
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Cape Verde reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $54.89
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.93
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will a player representing Spain be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $1.31
Potential payout: $32.45
Potential profit: $31.14
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Antonio Reynoso win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by 5% or more?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.01
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will Japan be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $23.64
Potential profit: $23.04
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.19
Potential profit: $17.19
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Japan be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $1.19
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $13.3
Multiplier: 12.20x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Belgium be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $11.63
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.3
Potential profit: $10.3
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.27
Potential profit: $10.27
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $7.67
Potential profit: $7.65
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 10.7%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $6.97
Potential profit: $6.22
Multiplier: 9.35x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Cape Verde reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 11.7%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $6.22
Potential profit: $5.5
Multiplier: 8.55x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $4.26
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $4.49
Potential profit: $3.77
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $1.12
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $2.22
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Cape Verde be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $2.35
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.69
Potential payout: $2.69
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Tunisia concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 36.1%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $2.28
Potential profit: $1.46
Multiplier: 2.77x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $2.21
Potential profit: $2.14
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.09
Potential payout: $2.1
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Exact Score: Tunisia 3 - 3 Netherlands?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $2.02
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.87

No position

Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

Over position

Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Over position

New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Under position

England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 0 Egypt?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Over position

France vs. Iraq: France O/U 1.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Ghana?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?