No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $8.15K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$150.99
Polymarket Trader
Evwo-Jaza
0x4e3de51057ed8c345ff6f5af6534c385927b8554
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.72K
- Realized PnL
- $24.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $3.8K
- User PnL
- -$3.8
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $2.54K
- Potential payout
- $3.35K
- Potential profit
- $803.24
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $111.25
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $27.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $12.4
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.38
- Multiplier
- 12.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.06K
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.38K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $817
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $486.42
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $383.26
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.53
N
No position
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $278.94
N
No position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $255.98
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.02
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.25
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.73
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.58
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.73
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.5
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.86
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.14
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 5,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 5,000 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 46% 1,248 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 52% 1,521.91 shares
- Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?Yes 73% 100 shares
- Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?Yes 73% 100 shares
- Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?Yes 72% 199.01 shares
- Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?Yes 73% 115.28 shares
- Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?Yes 74.3% 275.06 shares
- Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?Yes 90.7% 4,051.87 shares
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026?Yes 90% 3,422 shares
- Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?Yes 93% 1,138.33 shares