Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.33
- Potential profit
- $28.33
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Polymarket Trader
ierbe0ekbe0-
0x4e3e00e2d66ca36a6d7689296caad51671c67efb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $54.78
- Realized PnL
- $31.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $14.67
- Potential payout
- $15.66
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $12.38
- Potential payout
- $12.38
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $10.42
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $6.58
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $5.97
- Potential payout
- $6.34
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $6.08
- Potential payout
- $6.26
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Current value
- $5.47
- Potential payout
- $6.19
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $5.4
- Potential payout
- $6.1
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.6%
- Current value
- $4.82
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7AM ET
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.53
- Potential profit
- $3.53
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.35
- Potential profit
- $2.35
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6AM ET
Ends Sep 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.59
No position
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
Yes position
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Ukraine hits Moscow by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will Sprinklr (CXM) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No 96.9% 12.38 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?No 95.8% 15.66 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 95.9% 10.42 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 96% 10.42 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 87.5% 16.01 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?No 91% 14.29 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No 95% 9.47 shares
- Starmer out by June 15, 2026?No 98.4% 8.13 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?No 98% 8.16 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 92.2% 8.68 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 95% 9.47 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 84% 5.95 shares