Polymarket Trader

leoz33

0x4e487f9ee6a40b2ac8d0393153e929704e0756a7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $72.8
Realized PnL: $132.02
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $431.98
Potential profit: $431.98
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.67
Potential profit: $183.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.68
Potential profit: $102.68
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.01
Potential profit: $101.01
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $9.27
Potential payout: $88.24
Potential profit: $78.97
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$20.74

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.58
Potential profit: $70.58
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.97
Potential profit: $68.97
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $63.63
Potential profit: $58.86
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$23.09

Yes position

Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.82
Potential profit: $40.82
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $40
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $16.4

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$6

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.07
Potential profit: $38.07
User PnL: -$31.96

Yes position

GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $32.26
User PnL: -$10

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.86
Potential profit: $30.86
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$9.97

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.84
Potential profit: $28.84
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $6.57
Potential payout: $14.45
Potential profit: $7.88
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$3.42

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.18
Potential payout: $12.19
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $2.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.19

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.16

Yes position

Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.93

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 16?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.78

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.53

Yes position

Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.51

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Yes position

Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 52% 19.23 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 82% 12.19 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 43.7% 45.45 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 83.9% 29.76 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 52% 9.61 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 84.1% 8.31 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 44% 18.18 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 59% 40 shares
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Yes 4.3% 70.58 shares
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Yes 38% 52.63 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 34% 88.24 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 33.9% 29.41 shares