Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $7.61
- Potential payout
- $894.87
- Potential profit
- $887.27
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$4.39
Polymarket Trader
Gandoron
0x4e4b22344b9dacb9471b7cfbb5187c10013f88ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $116.01
- Realized PnL
- $100.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $619.69
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $411.46
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $15.16
- Potential payout
- $349.22
- Potential profit
- $334.06
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- $2.16
Yes position
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $2.59
- Potential payout
- $272.73
- Potential profit
- $270.14
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $5.97
- Potential payout
- $253.92
- Potential profit
- $247.96
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $248.38
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.98
- Potential profit
- $142.98
- User PnL
- -$27.62
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $105.26
- Potential profit
- $100.05
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $1.21
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.41
- Potential profit
- $82.41
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $81.93
- Potential profit
- $81.93
- User PnL
- -$3.78
Y
Yes position
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $20.47
- Potential payout
- $61.1
- Potential profit
- $40.63
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$6.53
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.32
- Potential profit
- $53.32
- User PnL
- -$4.21
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $3.49
- Potential payout
- $41.12
- Potential profit
- $37.62
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $13.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $26.6
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $4.54
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $24.87
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $12.24
- Potential payout
- $28.47
- Potential profit
- $16.23
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.34
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $4.03
- Potential payout
- $26.84
- Potential profit
- $22.82
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $6.32
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $20
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$13.68
Yes position
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $23.26
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.14
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- -$4.14
Yes position
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.61
- Potential profit
- $19.61
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $12.72
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.63
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.89
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.9
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.83
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.04
Yes position
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.04
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.42
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- $2.16
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?Yes 0.2% 37.48 shares
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 6.5% 49.78 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Yes 3.1% 11.7 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 32% 6.25 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 32% 15.63 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 50% 10 shares
- Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?No 85% 13.46 shares
- Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?Yes 52% 9.62 shares
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?Yes 25% 40 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 6.94 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes 68% 7.35 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 81% 6.17 shares