Polymarket Trader

RockyBro

0x4e4f14cecad60d7ba71f251b63af396d5642a849

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.81K
Realized PnL: $810.24
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.74
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$52.9

Yes position

Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $247
Potential payout: $479.62
Potential profit: $232.62
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$36.62

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $311.13
Potential payout: $412.1
Potential profit: $100.96
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$13.89

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $16.84
Potential payout: $374.17
Potential profit: $357.33
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$23.29

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $270.38
Potential payout: $372.94
Potential profit: $102.56
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $25.81

No position

Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $243.81
Potential payout: $248.53
Potential profit: $4.72
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $38.25

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $143.76
Potential payout: $201.06
Potential profit: $57.3
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $51.83
Potential payout: $191.97
Potential profit: $140.14
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$6.61

No position

Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $169.95
Potential profit: $169.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.01

Yes position

Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 6, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $134.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $15.75
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $92.92
Potential payout: $149.87
Potential profit: $56.95
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.22
Potential profit: $144.22
User PnL: -$2.02

No position

Will Pakistan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.68
Potential profit: $117.68
User PnL: -$83.86

No position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $88.53
Potential payout: $108.64
Potential profit: $20.11
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$6.53

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.84
Potential payout: $108.46
Potential profit: $106.62
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$2.37

Yes position

Will Spain be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $105.03
Potential profit: $102.82
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $32.17
Potential payout: $84.66
Potential profit: $52.49
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $22.69
Potential payout: $82.52
Potential profit: $59.83
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $46.1
Potential payout: $73.18
Potential profit: $27.08
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will 9+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $10.35
Potential payout: $71.4
Potential profit: $61.05
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $16.74
Potential payout: $65.66
Potential profit: $48.92
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $0.73

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $47.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $12.9
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $59.3
Potential profit: $57.76
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$8.4

No position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $21.63
Potential payout: $56.92
Potential profit: $35.29
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$0.25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $136.64

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.37

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.65

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.71

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.45

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.83

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.09

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.92

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.48

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.4

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.04

No position

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $22.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.58

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.49

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.05

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.26

No position

Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $18.15

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Yes 29% 5 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Yes 29% 5 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Yes 29% 5 shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

No 84% 5 shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

No 84% 5 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

No 70% 5 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 74% 18.28 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Yes 30% 11.18 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 0.9% 237.5 shares
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Yes 52% 10 shares
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Yes 52% 10 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

No 80% 27.53 shares