Yes position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $350
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Polymarket Trader
jiudubishu
0x4e521c06f756fbbf32c812d843a4dfe1e52b44e7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.67K
- Realized PnL
- $4.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $54.7
- Potential payout
- $729.36
- Potential profit
- $674.66
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$45.3
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $54.75
- Potential payout
- $644.12
- Potential profit
- $589.37
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$45.25
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $595.75
- Potential payout
- $638.87
- Potential profit
- $43.12
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $15.75
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $5.12
- Potential payout
- $487.66
- Potential profit
- $482.54
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $421.76
- Potential payout
- $439.56
- Potential profit
- $17.8
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $21.76
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $433.25
- Potential profit
- $433.25
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $393.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $6.2
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $21.8
Yes position
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $67.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $232.5
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $208.47
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $91.53
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$4.53
No position
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.68
- Potential profit
- $263.68
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $240.44
- Potential payout
- $240.69
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- User PnL
- $40.45
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $218.14
- Potential payout
- $219.35
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- User PnL
- $18.14
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.74
- Potential profit
- $200.74
- User PnL
- -$54
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.37
- Potential profit
- $200.37
- User PnL
- -$46
Y
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $182
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $18
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $179
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $21
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $191
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $9
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $191.2
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $8.8
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $11.6
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $179.71
- Potential profit
- $179.71
- User PnL
- -$60
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $157.85
- Potential payout
- $174.42
- Potential profit
- $16.57
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7.85
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $47.14
- Potential payout
- $171.43
- Potential profit
- $124.29
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$12.86
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $165.97
- Potential profit
- $165.97
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $111.63
- Potential payout
- $136.99
- Potential profit
- $25.36
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $11.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $826.03
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $501.72
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.62
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.05
No position
Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.4
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.17
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.55
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.17
Up position
Solana Up or Down - December 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.65
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.17
Yes position
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.1
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?No 88% 30 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 67% 120 shares
- World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Yes 87% 61.65 shares
- Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?No 93.3% 5 shares
- Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 70% 200 shares
- Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21% 200 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETUp 49% 10.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETUp 16% 31.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETUp 93% 31.97 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETUp 94% 5.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETUp 94% 26.6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETUp 94% 26.6 shares