No position
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $865.86
- Potential payout
- $931.03
- Potential profit
- $65.17
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $65.86
Polymarket Trader
lumaozhifu
0x4e57d8b68e8346aa5e838887eecef40edfddf99f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.4K
- Realized PnL
- $3.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.4%
- Current value
- $708.4
- Potential payout
- $927.23
- Potential profit
- $218.83
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$91.59
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $806.62
- Potential profit
- $806.62
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $775.26
- Potential payout
- $781.52
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- $75.27
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $95.5
- Potential payout
- $684.57
- Potential profit
- $589.07
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.9%
- Current value
- $118.36
- Potential payout
- $596.27
- Potential profit
- $477.91
- Multiplier
- 5.04x
- User PnL
- $18.36
Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $416.37
- Potential payout
- $540.74
- Potential profit
- $124.37
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $16.37
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $503.98
- Potential profit
- $503.98
- User PnL
- -$400
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $360.72
- Potential payout
- $456.61
- Potential profit
- $95.89
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $60.72
Yes position
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $334.43
- Potential payout
- $382.21
- Potential profit
- $47.78
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $34.43
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $219.54
- Potential payout
- $354.1
- Potential profit
- $134.56
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$80.46
No position
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $277.06
- Potential payout
- $335.83
- Potential profit
- $58.77
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$22.94
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $319.89
- Potential payout
- $334.97
- Potential profit
- $15.07
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $19.89
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $313.48
- Potential payout
- $331.9
- Potential profit
- $18.42
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $13.48
Yes position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $223.89
- Potential payout
- $331.69
- Potential profit
- $107.8
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $23.89
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $40.15
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $253.97
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.85
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.7%
- Current value
- $213.93
- Potential payout
- $268.42
- Potential profit
- $54.49
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $13.93
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $124.87
- Potential payout
- $247.26
- Potential profit
- $122.39
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$75.13
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $238.1
- Potential profit
- $238.1
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $220.03
- Potential payout
- $235.33
- Potential profit
- $15.3
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $20.03
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $200
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $27.27
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $191.21
- Potential payout
- $223.64
- Potential profit
- $32.43
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$8.79
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $194.69
- Potential payout
- $217.53
- Potential profit
- $22.84
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$5.31
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Current value
- $183.83
- Potential payout
- $217.3
- Potential profit
- $33.46
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$16.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $406.37
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $249.21
No position
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.42
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.36
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.07
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.29
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.74
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.4
No position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.92
No position
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.31
$2k position
Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.71
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.02
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.16
Yes position
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.47
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.85
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.52
No position
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.25
No position
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.83
No position
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.63
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.86
Spurs position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.04
No position
Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.03
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes 61% 49.18 shares
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic 77% 259.74 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 63.5% 157.57 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No 88% 227.27 shares
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic 76% 131.58 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 79.9% 125.16 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 29.85 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.5% 285.71 shares
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic 66.9% 149.42 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Yes 90% 55.56 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 94.1% 106.3 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 310.56 shares