Polymarket Trader

ahasan80

0x4e645fb82ea6cc2d3bf51ad11ac799a556f2fc32

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.08K
Realized PnL: $1.65K
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $31.56
Potential payout: $21.04K
Potential profit: $21.01K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$318.42

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $108.33
Potential payout: $16.67K
Potential profit: $16.56K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$91.67

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.11K
Potential profit: $15.11K
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $524.81
Potential payout: $9.54K
Potential profit: $9.02K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$475.18

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $113.64
Potential payout: $9.09K
Potential profit: $8.98K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $13.65

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $13.64
Potential payout: $9.09K
Potential profit: $9.08K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$86.35

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.77K
Potential profit: $8.77K
User PnL: -$499.99

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.02K
Potential profit: $8.02K
User PnL: -$4K

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.66K
Potential profit: $7.66K
User PnL: -$999.99

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $10.88
Potential payout: $7.26K
Potential profit: $7.25K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$44.32

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $360.71
Potential payout: $7.14K
Potential profit: $6.78K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $110.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.91K
Potential profit: $6.91K
User PnL: -$2.5K

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $221.25
Potential payout: $6.25K
Potential profit: $6.03K
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $121.25

Yes position

Will Solana reach $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.01K
Potential profit: $6.01K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $86.51
Potential payout: $5.97K
Potential profit: $5.88K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$38.78

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $85.29
Potential payout: $5.88K
Potential profit: $5.8K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$14.7

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $57.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.94K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$42.5

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $88.1
Potential payout: $4.76K
Potential profit: $4.67K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$11.9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $213.64
Potential payout: $4.55K
Potential profit: $4.33K
Multiplier: 21.28x
User PnL: -$286.36

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $53.63
Potential payout: $4.29K
Potential profit: $4.24K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$446.36

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.29K
Potential profit: $4.29K
User PnL: -$2.2K

Yes position

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $131.17
Potential payout: $3.71K
Potential profit: $3.57K
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$118.83

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.46K
Potential profit: $3.46K
User PnL: -$500

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.98K
Potential payout: $2.98K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $476.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $369.06

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.96

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.55

Yes position

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$35.45

Yes position

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$67.94

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$217.85

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$274.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 96.6% 1,416.82 shares
Will Solana reach $100 in May?

Yes 51% 182.73 shares
Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Yes 1.2% 5,493 shares
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Yes 2.3% 1,416.98 shares
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.8% 7,256.32 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 33.5% 179.1 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?

Yes 24% 416.67 shares
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?

Yes 24% 1,041.67 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 1.8% 12,205 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 4% 0.28 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 3.6% 7,895 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 353.05 shares