No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.17K
- Potential profit
- $57.17K
- User PnL
- -$130.51
Polymarket Trader
0x4e65...0f3c
0x4e65b2b18057e294fecf47d4d1b80132eb960f3c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $730.23
- Realized PnL
- $151.73
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.65K
- Potential profit
- $20.65K
- User PnL
- -$159.79
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $506.27
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$243.72
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $223.96
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $817.71
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $23.96
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $487.88
- Potential profit
- $487.88
- User PnL
- -$23.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.35
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.27
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.37
Yes position
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$164.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes 16% 625 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes 24% 416.67 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?Yes 7% 200.36 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 6?Yes 3.2% 287.52 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?Yes 40.7% 1,841 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Yes 0.6% 3,333.33 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.2% 8,646.66 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.3% 3,713.33 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.3% 4,933.33 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.2% 51,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 97.5% 752.15 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares