Polymarket Trader

hoatbro

0x4e67a74c3f2ef748fc4f67c4622cde0c87a22b1f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $430.94
Realized PnL: $3.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 5.5–7.0 million views on week 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $596.56
Potential profit: $596.56
User PnL: -$15.2

No position

Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $80m?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $546.4
Potential profit: $546.4
User PnL: -$312.97

Yes position

Will Sidemen's next video get between 6–7 million views on week 1?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $528.62
Potential profit: $528.62
User PnL: -$222.5

Under position

Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 230.5

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $348.45
Potential profit: $348.45
User PnL: -$173.99

Yes position

Will Marques Brownlee's next video get less than 4.0 million views on week 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $290
Potential profit: $290
User PnL: -$23.98

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $198.5
Potential payout: $256.13
Potential profit: $57.63
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$12.49

Yes position

Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 7.0–8.5 million views on week 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $242
Potential profit: $242
User PnL: -$2.26

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$7.2

No position

Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $193.02
Potential payout: $193.12
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $7.91

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.86
Potential profit: $183.86
User PnL: -$25.66

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.23
Potential profit: $137.23
User PnL: -$81

No position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.42
Potential profit: $123.42
User PnL: -$48.83

Bulls position

Spread: Raptors (-6.5)

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.51
Potential profit: $118.51
User PnL: -$109.81

Yes position

Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 8.5–10.0 million views on week 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $72
User PnL: -$0.79

No position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 78.4%
Current value: $39.41
Potential payout: $50.27
Potential profit: $10.86
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$6.59

Yes position

Will MrBeast raise between $40m and $41m by midnight?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3600 on August 4?

Ends Aug 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.06
Potential profit: $47.06
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.93
Potential profit: $22.93
User PnL: -$15.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next video?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.27

Yes position

Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $139-150m?

Ends Jul 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.97

Yes position

Will "The Long Walk" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $11m and $13m?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.94

No position

Will Solana reach $200 on August 18–24?

Ends Aug 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $213.03

No position

Will MrBeast say Feastables 3+ times during next video?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.12

No position

"Gabby’s Dollhouse" grosses higher than "One Battle After Another" opening weekend?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.51

Yes position

Will "Honey Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $3-3.5m?

Ends Aug 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.41

Yes position

Will "Downton Abbey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $20m?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.78

Yes position

Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 4.0–5.5 million views on week 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.19

Yes position

Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $78m and $85m?

Ends Jun 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.54

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.37

Yes position

Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $67m?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.24

No position

Will MrBeast say "Feastables" 3+ times during his next video?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.19

Yes position

Will "The Smashing Machine" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86

Yes position

Will "The Strangers: Chapter 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 5.75m?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.45

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on July 7 at 5PM ET?

Ends Jul 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.6

Yes position

Will "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 3.5m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.16

Yes position

Will GOAT be the highest grossing movie this weekend?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.01

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4200 in July?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.41

Yes position

o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.41

Yes position

YZY market cap (FDV) $1B–$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.2

Yes position

Will "Gabby's Dollhouse: The Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.9

Yes position

Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Yes 78.9% 76.02 shares
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m?

No 98.8% 10.3 shares
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m?

No 98.6% 60 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Yes 83.8% 180.11 shares
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m?

No 89.7% 55.72 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

No 91.5% 50.27 shares
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17m?

No 97.5% 207.69 shares
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Yes 97.1% 296.15 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?

Yes 13% 142 shares
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 17m?

No 99.9% 45.57 shares
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?

Yes 73.6% 407.66 shares
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?

No 83% 372.29 shares