Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.9%
- Current value
- $1.76
- Potential payout
- $6.1
- Potential profit
- $4.34
- Multiplier
- 3.47x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Polymarket Trader
0x4e7996f258270C741aE409435d7Ba20cc07B22E3-1780458044963
0x4e7996f258270c741ae409435d7ba20cc07b22e3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.13
- Realized PnL
- $308.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $5.99
- Potential profit
- $5.31
- Multiplier
- 8.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.99
- Potential profit
- $5.99
- User PnL
- -$4.73
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.83
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.2%
- Current value
- $2.53
- Potential payout
- $2.84
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $1.4
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.05
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.21
Y
Yes position
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $30.46
Y
Yes position
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $27.24
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.77
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $25.2
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.28
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.53
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.37
No position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $11.32
Y
Yes position
Will Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.76
No position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.15
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $3.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETDown 95% 26.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETDown 78% 29.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETDown 84% 29.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETUp 1% 2,500 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETUp 79% 5.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETUp 70% 6.8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETUp 71% 6.66 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETUp 72% 6.53 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETUp 72% 6.65 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETUp 74% 6.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETUp 64% 7.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETDown 1% 2,500 shares