Polymarket Trader

BearBoss

0x4e7f9b1f116ade4e106c1f3646a00b5b047d528b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $71.43
Realized PnL: $20.89
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $13.43
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $1.57
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.01
Potential profit: $14.01
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$13.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $13.79

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $12.99
User PnL: -$12.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$11.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.78

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Lara Bird win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12.5m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?

No 91% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?

Yes 98% 10 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 99.9% 25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 25?

No 99% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 24?

No 99% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 23?

No 99% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 21?

No 99% 11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 20?

No 98% 14 shares
Will Lara Bird win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?

Yes 95% 13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 16?

No 98% 13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 15?

No 98% 14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14?

No 99% 11 shares