No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $600
Polymarket Trader
Rolocex
0x4e8b684686f26cbe80f3660738d7f67d74f81ea1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.62K
- Realized PnL
- $16.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$3.24K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.9K
- Potential profit
- $3.9K
- User PnL
- -$3.28K
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $2.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$315.48
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $120.41
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- User PnL
- -$1K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.46K
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $453.64
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$742.79
No position
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Current value
- $858
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $142
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $228
No position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $999.98
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $999.98
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $60.3
Yes position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $5.4
- Potential payout
- $830.68
- Potential profit
- $825.28
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
No position
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.2%
- Current value
- $665.19
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $134.8
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $630.79
No position
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $600
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $83
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $496.74
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$7.25
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $54
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $346
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$102
No position
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $296.4
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $3.6
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $71.4
No position
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $238.41
- Potential payout
- $252.02
- Potential profit
- $13.61
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$5.49
No position
Solana all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $209.66
- Potential payout
- $209.66
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.29
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $112.7
- Potential payout
- $112.7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $46.84
Yes position
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$3.6
No position
Will Milady floor price reach 4 ETH before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $43.65
- Potential payout
- $48.5
- Potential profit
- $4.85
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Will Milady floor price reach 6 ETH before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $21.67
- Potential payout
- $27.96
- Potential profit
- $6.29
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $960.01
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $945.01
No position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $749
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $715
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $663.76
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $655.54
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $645.83
No position
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $596.23
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $585.06
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $571.38
No position
Israel strikes Iran before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $546.5
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $481.1
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $472.93
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.54
No position
US military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $439.6
No position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $438.17
No position
US x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.28
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $383.82
No position
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.25
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3400 July 14–20?
Ends Jul 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No 84% 3,900 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No 69% 1,463.37 shares
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes 73.5% 7.55 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 81% 4,000 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 46% 2,178.77 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 88% 5,000 shares
- Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?No 99.4% 1,000 shares
- Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?No 96.1% 1,000 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 93% 1,000 shares
- Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 71.6% 2,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No 98.5% 1,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by January 31?No 92% 536.5 shares