Polymarket Trader

Faquarl

0x4ea67bdde5af4942a2c8f117730064cbe04ab249

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $643.5
Realized PnL: $39.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.53K
Potential profit: $16.53K
User PnL: -$6K

Yes position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.01K
Potential profit: $9.01K
User PnL: -$73.95

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.01K
Potential profit: $5.01K
User PnL: -$977.08

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $3.21K
User PnL: -$125.96

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 27?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.68K
Potential profit: $2.68K
User PnL: -$18.02

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.66K
Potential profit: $2.66K
User PnL: -$94

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $643.5
Potential payout: $2.43K
Potential profit: $1.78K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$556.49

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.22K
User PnL: -$20

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.72K
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.63K
Potential profit: $1.63K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.59K
User PnL: -$121

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.55K
Potential profit: $1.55K
User PnL: -$52.45

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.51K
Potential profit: $1.51K
User PnL: -$19.57

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$109.49

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$13.15

Yes position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$100.65

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

U.S. operation to capture Maduro in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $960.86
Potential profit: $960.86
User PnL: -$54.19

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $932.6
Potential profit: $932.6
User PnL: -$75.05

Yes position

Will Iran strike Turkey in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $903.36
Potential profit: $903.36
User PnL: -$126.2

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$257.79

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.44K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.02K

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67K

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44K

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $612.66

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $521.85

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $426.31

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $277.67

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $249.7

Yes position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205

Yes position

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.58

No position

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $171.8

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.79

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.87

Yes position

U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.6

Yes position

Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $124.65

Yes position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.97

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.73

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Yes 66% 326.65 shares
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Yes 67.9% 326.65 shares
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

No 0.2% 2,000 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 10.3% 604.26 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 29.4% 2,567.08 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 32% 625 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 31.9% 939.53 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 29.9% 1,002.56 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

No 19.2% 520.15 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Yes 15.7% 604.26 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

No 30.5% 655.11 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 33.6% 2,627.05 shares