Polymarket Trader

Nikog80

0x4ea6c91d2f0b44cb017a1e3f252488747a2d3b78

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $700.02
Realized PnL: $550.24
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $2.05K
User PnL: -$1.35K

Yes position

Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $448.99
Potential profit: $448.99
User PnL: -$378.21

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $52.83
Potential payout: $387.05
Potential profit: $334.22
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $39.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $160.5
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $25.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $174.9
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $23.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $176.5
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $11.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $188.1
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $14.08
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $185.92
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $11.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $188.5
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $10.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $189.3
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $83.19
Potential payout: $127
Potential profit: $43.82
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$10.38

No position

Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $41.94
Potential payout: $125.19
Potential profit: $83.25
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$13.14

No position

Will India have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $46.65
Potential payout: $101.42
Potential profit: $54.77
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$26.42

No position

Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $94.96
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $5.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$2.95

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $11.55
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $58.45
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$51.35

No position

Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $36.3
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $23.7
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$5.65

No position

Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $45.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $4.75
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $46.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $3.25
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $47.58
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $2.42
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $35
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $27
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $13
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.61
Potential profit: $32.61
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $24.75
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $5.25
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$25.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $73.51

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $71.44

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.02

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.85

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.11

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $26.74

No position

Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.6

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.69

Yes position

Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

No position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

Yes position

Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.95

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.15

Yes position

Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.04

Yes position

Will Christine Drazan win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.36

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.3

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Spurs

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.96

Yes position

Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.95

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $10.4

Yes position

Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.28

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.9

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.09

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.7% 187.05 shares
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Yes 22% 8.18 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 89% 11.24 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 61% 8.2 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 200 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 200 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.7% 200 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.4% 200 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.8% 200 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.9% 200 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.7% 200 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 200 shares