Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $111.82
- Potential profit
- $110.98
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Polymarket Trader
cameronjade
0x4ea973c3a568ccba6a4af6a1df69e8843d6b2e7d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.5
- Realized PnL
- $25.36
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $9.17
- Potential profit
- $8.57
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $8.55
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.68
- Potential payout
- $3.68
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $3.55
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Maduro guilty of all counts?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $2.97
- Potential profit
- $2.75
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $2.64
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $2.39
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
No position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.38
- Potential payout
- $2.39
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $1.8
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.61
- Potential payout
- $1.61
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- User PnL
- -$1.02
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $1.49
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $1.16
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $1.13
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.03
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
No position
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 66% 1.55 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes 71% 1.55 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 61% 1.9 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 68% 1.65 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes 56% 1.98 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 89% 1.16 shares
- Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?Yes 33% 3.36 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 12% 9.17 shares
- Will Caroline van der Plas become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?Yes 0.1% 1,190 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 91.4% 1.16 shares
- Major CEX insolvent in 2026?Yes 12% 9 shares
- Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No 91% 1.6 shares