Polymarket Trader

bigredbutton

0x4ed6850b127288d1e5e280897921a7262e1d47b6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.34
Realized PnL: $71.18
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.57
Potential profit: $16.57
User PnL: -$4.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.79
Potential profit: $14.78
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $11.42
Potential profit: $11.4
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.5
Potential profit: $10.49
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.29
Potential profit: $9.29
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $8.86
Potential profit: $8.83
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$3.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $1.64
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $6.36
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $7.98
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $4.74
Potential payout: $7.08
Potential profit: $2.34
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $6.95
Potential profit: $6.94
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.73
Potential profit: $6.73
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $6.66
Potential profit: $5.25
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.03
Potential profit: $6.02
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $4.89
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$2.94

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $2.67
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$2.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: $8.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $4.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $3.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $3.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $3.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $2.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $2.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: $1.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 21?

Yes 22% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?

No 28% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 21?

Yes 38% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?

No 29% 5.71 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 21?

No 61% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 21?

Yes 23% 8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 21?

Yes 37% 7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?

Yes 47% 8 shares
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 21?

Yes 45% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 21?

No 52% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 21?

No 65% 6.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 21?

No 70% 8 shares