Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $135.39
- Potential profit
- $135.32
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Polymarket Trader
lucky-stochasticity
0x4ee7a87ef4eb84943b961fdee8bd2b93b203998a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.79
- Realized PnL
- $57.8
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.95
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Over position
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 5.5
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.47
- Potential profit
- $32.47
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Over position
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Baltimore Orioles position
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.65
- Potential profit
- $16.65
- User PnL
- -$5.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Over position
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 4.5
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.33
- Potential profit
- $13.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10.39
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
J.J. Wolf position
Cary: J.J. Wolf vs Jay Dylan Friend
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.48
- Potential profit
- $10.48
- User PnL
- -$2.41
Blaise Bicknell position
Cary: Timo Legout vs Blaise Bicknell
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.04
- Potential profit
- $9.04
- User PnL
- -$2.61
Netherlands position
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.54
- Potential profit
- $8.54
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Milwaukee Brewers position
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.39
- Potential profit
- $8.39
- User PnL
- -$4.95
No position
Will Atlétic Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.39
- Potential profit
- $8.39
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.99
- Potential profit
- $6.99
- User PnL
- -$4.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $1.78
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $4.47
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $5.17
- Potential payout
- $5.98
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.98
- Potential profit
- $5.98
- User PnL
- -$5.02
Over position
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 3.5
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$2
Nick Hardt position
Bogota: Lorenzo Claverie vs Nick Hardt
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.8
- Potential profit
- $5.8
- User PnL
- -$4
Germany position
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.77
- Potential profit
- $5.77
- User PnL
- -$5.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.49
No position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
St. Louis Cardinals position
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02
Alex Martinez position
Cary: Rio Noguchi vs Alex Martinez
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
Y
Yes position
France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Over position
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Gustavo Heide position
Iasi: Cezar Cretu vs Gustavo Heide
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Indiana Fever position
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Maya Joint position
Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Joint
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
Milwaukee Brewers position
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Milwaukee Brewers position
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
New York Mets position
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
Atlanta Hawks position
NBA Summer League: Atlanta Hawks vs. San Antonio Spurs
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Mexico position
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Under position
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 11?No 64% 1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?No 90% 1.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?No 55% 1.82 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 13?No 79% 1.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?No 66% 1.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 11?No 56% 1.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on July 11?No 81% 1.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 11?No 65% 1.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 11?No 86% 1.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 11?No 57% 1.75 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 12?No 69% 1.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 11?Yes 19% 5.26 shares