No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.96K
- Potential profit
- $2.96K
- User PnL
- -$1.8K
Polymarket Trader
0x4ef3...8463
0x4ef33640ec4ddecf1c0c173278c0f05475578463
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.13K
- Realized PnL
- $406.48
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$372.01
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.83
- Potential profit
- $344.83
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $302.58
- Potential profit
- $302.43
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.85
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $294.12
- User PnL
- -$200
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $226.86
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.05
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 86% 1,194.02 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 6.6% 302.58 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 56% 535.71 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 62% 2,419.35 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 61.8% 2,425.78 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 68% 294.12 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 99.9% 80.64 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 67% 1,194.03 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No 92% 1,031.57 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No 77.6% 1,031.58 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 29% 344.83 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 62% 80.65 shares