Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $895.61
Polymarket Trader
user089
0x4ef3f1f4dcd804c5ed585d18f1c77700ae677bd0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $1.44K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $476.52
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $424.53
Yes position
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.5
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.71
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 11?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $895.61
Yes position
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $476.52
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $424.53
Yes position
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.5
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.71
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 11?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.77
No position
GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.99
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40.39
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$151.65
No position
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$529.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Mythos be released on June 11?Yes 11% 107 shares
- Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?Yes 55% 5 shares
- Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?Yes 40.4% 130 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.3% 4,499.95 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes 1.2% 4,089.12 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by May 31?Yes 12% 21 shares
- Claude 4.8 released by May 31?Yes 11% 250 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes 4.3% 450 shares
- Claude 4.7 released by May 31?Yes 54.3% 412.65 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes 38% 200 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes 38% 250 shares
- Claude 4.7 released by May 31?Yes 51.5% 88.23 shares