Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$40
Polymarket Trader
0x4EF468707670E166367F4F701C3Acb60Fa36e2e9-1767985262980
0x4ef468707670e166367f4f701c3acb60fa36e2e9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $2.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21K
- Potential profit
- $21K
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.52K
- Potential profit
- $19.52K
- User PnL
- -$69.99
Yes position
Will "Yonaguni" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.51K
- Potential profit
- $6.51K
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will "Safaera" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.56K
- Potential profit
- $3.56K
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- User PnL
- -$821.86
Yes position
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will "Neverita" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$57.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $958.33
- Potential profit
- $958.33
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $874.62
- Potential profit
- $874.62
- User PnL
- -$41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $858.58
- Potential profit
- $858.58
- User PnL
- -$129.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $786.25
- Potential profit
- $786.25
- User PnL
- -$349.58
Yes position
Will "Callaita" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $713.27
- Potential profit
- $713.27
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will "The Romantic" by Bruno Mars be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $685.15
- Potential profit
- $685.15
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $548.18
- Potential profit
- $548.18
- User PnL
- -$80
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $547.71
- Potential profit
- $547.71
- User PnL
- -$220.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $540.24
- Potential profit
- $540.24
- User PnL
- -$19.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $527.39
- Potential profit
- $527.39
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $526.32
- User PnL
- -$10
Patriots position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $525.65
- Potential profit
- $525.65
- User PnL
- -$153.14
No position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.69
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $124.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETDown 21% 23.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETDown 39% 12.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETDown 40% 12.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETDown 41% 12.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETDown 35% 14.29 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETDown 45% 11.11 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETDown 45% 11.11 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETDown 52% 48.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETDown 51% 9.8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETDown 3% 166.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETDown 24% 20.83 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETDown 24% 20.83 shares