Polymarket Trader

GoodIdeaFairy

0x4f064c75b4d43a87b3087217f78a046326132614

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $78.57
Realized PnL: $1.64K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.9
Potential profit: $217.9
User PnL: -$90.21

Yes position

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $76
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $124
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.52
Potential profit: $175.52
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.37
Potential profit: $169.37
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.58
Potential profit: $155.58
User PnL: -$34.76

Sabres position

NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.89
Potential profit: $101.89
User PnL: -$54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.19
Potential profit: $59.19
User PnL: -$8.12

Golden Knights position

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.05
Potential profit: $43.05
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.31
Potential profit: $41.31
User PnL: -$25

Golden Knights position

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10.25

Golden Knights position

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$7.8

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $10.59
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$2.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$5

Golden Knights position

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.72
Potential profit: $7.72
User PnL: -$3.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.41

Golden Knights position

Ducks vs. Golden Knights

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.11

Bears position

Spread: Packers (-7.5)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69.88

Blue Jays position

Mariners vs. Blue Jays

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.27

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Ravens

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58

Over position

D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 54.5

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.9

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.91

Seahawks position

Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

49ers position

49ers vs. Colts

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.5

Over position

49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.21

Over position

Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 38.5

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.8

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.55

Chargers position

Vikings vs. Chargers

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.48

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Indiana position

Alabama vs. Indiana

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.51

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Golden Knights 48% 50 shares
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Golden Knights 44% 7.72 shares
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Golden Knights 47% 9.99 shares
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Golden Knights 48% 10 shares
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Golden Knights 41% 25 shares
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Yes 41.4% 217.9 shares
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Golden Knights 41% 24.44 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 70% 15.15 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 99.1% 61.72 shares
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

Hurricanes 50% 6 shares
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes

Hurricanes 71% 21.13 shares
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)

Avalanche 43% 10 shares