Polymarket Trader

aenews1

0x4f11e8f0a369167e6131a49daa91135e15f7be8d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.51
Realized PnL: $2.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

76ers position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.91K
Potential profit: $3.91K
User PnL: -$119.37

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Thunder

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$312

Yes position

Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.64
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$24.6

Yes position

Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.84
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.53K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$21.46

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Thunder

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.53K
User PnL: -$214.99

Yes position

Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.53
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$26.4

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$91

Lakers position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $938.97
Potential profit: $938.97
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $494.5
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$13.5

Timberwolves position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$85

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $271.1
Potential profit: $271.1
User PnL: -$71.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $651.16

Yes position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $566.46

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.95

No position

Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.03

No position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $213.9

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.98

Yes position

Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.52

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.19

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.92

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.77

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.5

Yes position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.94

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Warriors

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Suns

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Yes position

Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.21

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.63

No position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 47% 212.77 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 21.3% 938.97 shares
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs

Team Falcons 67% 74.63 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Team Falcons 9% 111.11 shares
Lakers vs. Thunder

Lakers 16.9% 531.08 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

No 0.6% 5,000 shares
76ers vs. Celtics

76ers 1% 902.56 shares
76ers vs. Celtics

76ers 5% 1,886 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

No 2.9% 1,200 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

No 4% 3,000 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

No 7.2% 4,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Up 15% 5.85 shares