No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $4.89K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $112.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $42.5
Polymarket Trader
MisterAnderson.eth
@anderson4w3
0x4f12d8070a539c009c49e248bf91617f98c78211
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.62K
- Realized PnL
- $1.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.8%
- Current value
- $494.77
- Potential payout
- $775.5
- Potential profit
- $280.73
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $233.27
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $229.89
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $6.09
No position
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.48
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.93
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $214.52
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.29
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.96
Yes position
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.49
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.91
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.08
No position
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.05
No position
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.67
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.25
No position
Will the AAVE token alignment proposal pass?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.98
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.88
Yes position
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.7
No position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.1
No position
Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.02
No position
China coup attempt in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.84
No position
Zama auction clearing price above $0.07?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.81
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.3
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
No position
Will SpaceX rescue the stranded Chinese astronauts?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.95
No position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.7% 5,974.73 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.2% 5,888.59 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes 56.5% 40 shares
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes 56.6% 10.6 shares
- Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?No 98.5% 5 shares
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes 3% 959.96 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 96.3% 1,512.78 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 96.2% 200 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 96.1% 1,889.78 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 96% 157.06 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 99.9% 5,877.09 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 99.6% 1,670 shares