Yes position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.93
- Potential profit
- $39.93
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
thetoeknee
0x4f29045cfae3aea3a1381e50065374d2d98fbaeb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.79
- Realized PnL
- $27.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.23
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.03
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.13
- Potential profit
- $5.13
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.28
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- User PnL
- -$1
Canadiens position
Lightning vs. Canadiens
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.58
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No 15% 6.67 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No 20% 5 shares
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 11.5% 12.5 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 22% 7.69 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No 13% 7.69 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 15% 6.67 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 90.7% 47.02 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 46.9% 47.03 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 55% 1.82 shares
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?Yes 27% 3.7 shares
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?Yes 75% 1.33 shares