No position
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $198.56
- Potential payout
- $209.45
- Potential profit
- $10.89
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Polymarket Trader
0x4F39e8d135Df2DE673091E8E117B700AeAa3CD61-1769986412738
0x4f39e8d135df2de673091e8e117b700aeaa3cd61
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $248.39
- Realized PnL
- $32.42
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $49.82
- Potential payout
- $50.3
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.58
- Potential profit
- $3.58
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.39
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.07
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 10?No 97.7% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 10?No 99% 50.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on July 9?No 99.3% 30 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 11?No 99.4% 50.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 10?No 99.2% 40.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C or below on July 10?No 99.5% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 10?No 92% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on July 9?No 98.7% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on July 9?No 99.5% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 8?No 99.5% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 9?No 99.5% 29.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 9?No 99% 50 shares