lethalcheese

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.91K
Potential profit: $6.91K
User PnL: -$3.61K

Yes position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $68.75
Potential payout: $2.75K
Potential profit: $2.68K
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: $39.75

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$1.02K

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $597.89
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $808.92
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $89.42

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Kari Lake win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $996.5
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $966.43
Potential profit: $966.43
User PnL: -$270.6

Yes position

Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $769.23
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Was Roaring Kitty GME YOLO update fake?

Ends Jun 7, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $746.17
Potential profit: $746.17
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will a Trump family member win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $580.3
Potential profit: $580.3
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Kristi Noem win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $562.39
Potential profit: $562.39
User PnL: -$50.7

Yes position

Will Elise Stefanik win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $471.43
Potential profit: $471.43
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will another woman win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $422.62
Potential profit: $422.62
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$56

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Roaring Kitty billionaire by Friday?

Ends Jun 7, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $317.46
Potential profit: $317.46
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $31.41
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $281.09
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$18.59

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 35.3%
Current value: $108.8
Potential payout: $308.64
Potential profit: $199.85
Multiplier: 2.84x
User PnL: $58.8

Yes position

Will another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.17
Potential profit: $300.17
User PnL: -$21.92

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D House

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R House

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $538.8

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.82

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Independent Game at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194

Yes position

Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.29

Yes position

Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.35

Yes position

Will the US gain between 150-200k jobs in April?

Ends May 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.14

Yes position

Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.45

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: $62.52

Yes position

Will US gain 250k-300k jobs in February?

Ends Mar 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.5

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.48

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.77

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Art Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.77

Yes position

Will the Port of Baltimore reopen in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

Yes position

Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30?

Ends Jun 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.54

Yes position

Bitcoin above $60,000 on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.93

Yes position

Will Trump talk about crypto by next Friday?

Ends Jun 7, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.83

Yes position

Will Kamala say "JD" or "Vance" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

Yes position

Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.17

Yes position

Will Tim Walz say "Dog" during the debate?

Ends Oct 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

Yes position

Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?