Polymarket Trader

morskk

0x4f5b5efddfc9687be65636beb15868d67b1da988

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $23.74
Realized PnL: $27.88
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $28.91
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.66

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $4.37
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $5.24
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$0.63

No position

Argentina to score first vs. Cabo Verde?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 57.9%
Current value: $3.41
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $2.48
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: $2.41

No position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56.9%
Current value: $2.99
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $2.27
Multiplier: 1.76x
User PnL: $1.99

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $2.79
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $1.98
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $1.79

Yes position

Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.4%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $1.51
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.1
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$0.66

No position

Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $2.56
User PnL: -$1

Alliance position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $2.13
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $1.81
Potential payout: $1.89
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

Arizona Diamondbacks position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $0.79
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$0.01

Cory Sandhagen position

UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $1.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $1.27
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.99

No position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $1.27
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1.11
Potential profit: $0.61
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Yes position

Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

GamerLegion position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Team Nemesis position

Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Pablo Carreno Busta position

Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Walczaki position

Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

Fortress position

Counter-Strike: Fortress vs AaB Bulls (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Division 1 Playoffs

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Stearns position

Set Handicap: Bartunkova (-1.5) vs Stearns (+1.5)

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 29-July 5?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

ZOTIX position

Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs bankaPEPSI (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffs

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

HereWeGoAgain position

Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Jannik Sinner position

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Aurora Gaming position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Passion Academy position

Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Group D

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Argentina to score first vs. Cabo Verde?

No 16% 6.25 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

No 16% 6.25 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?

No 55% 1.82 shares
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?

No 36% 2.78 shares
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?

Yes 21% 4.76 shares
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Yes 17% 5.88 shares
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 19% 5.26 shares
Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 53% 1.89 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

No 88% 1.14 shares
Over $20M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Cincinnati Reds 42% 2.38 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic

Adam Walton 44% 2.27 shares