Polymarket Trader

cgdg

0x4f5bb6dcf70fb8312b2e31c10472ba082f27c6b4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.01K
Realized PnL: $1.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $846.48
Potential payout: $3.68K
Potential profit: $2.83K
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$205.26

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $2.28K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$293

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$85

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.62
Potential profit: $322.62
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $294.13
Potential profit: $219.12
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240.47
Potential profit: $240.47
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $88.3
Potential payout: $212.77
Potential profit: $124.47
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$11.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.39
Potential profit: $135.39
User PnL: -$57

Yes position

Iran strike on US military by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.65
Potential profit: $127.65
User PnL: -$21.3

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.71
Potential profit: $85.71
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.44
Potential profit: $71.44
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.82
Potential profit: $56.82
User PnL: -$25

Top Esports position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.72
Potential profit: $51.72
User PnL: -$15

Latvia position

Men's Group C - Latvia vs. USA

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $754.81

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.78

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.91

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.47

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.92

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.4

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.51

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.95

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $17.7

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.28

Yes position

Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.87

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.27

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.28

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.71

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.6%
Multiplier: 4.43x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?

Yes 44% 56.82 shares
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes 9.6% 3,680.34 shares
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes 29.8% 656.85 shares
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes 28.3% 353.62 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Yes 34% 294.12 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 47% 212.77 shares
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes 24.7% 2,116.74 shares
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes 39.6% 252.48 shares
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes 39% 569.23 shares
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes 38.2% 586.78 shares
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes 29% 68.97 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?

Yes 31.8% 64.51 shares